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Earnings Estimates

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Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 541.80
Price - 52 Week High: 611.40
Price - 52 Week Low: 448.00
Price Date (Latest): 10/12/18
Median Price Target: 586.50
Diff from Prev Close: 44.70
% Difference: 8.25

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.26

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 18.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 2.32
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 16.96
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 9.87
Yield (%): 0.43

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 27.75 32.89 25.10 27.41 18 2 -- 0.02
Annual 24.88 28.00 22.17 24.71 20 2 -- 0.01
Annual 22.19 23.40 20.27 22.36 19 1 -- 0.42
Quarterly 6.07 6.36 5.91 6.06 5 1 -- --
Quarterly 5.36 5.44 5.24 5.38 4 1 -- --
Quarterly 5.19 5.19 5.19 5.19 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6.61 6.61 6.61 6.61 1 1 -- --
Long Term Growth 15.57 17.80 12.69 16.23 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 18.40 17.97 2.40
Annual 12/1/16 13.40 12.94 3.59
Annual 12/1/15 12.85 11.99 7.14
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.50 6.03 7.76
Quarterly 3/1/18 4.20 4.58 -8.34
Quarterly 12/1/17 4.80 4.39 9.40
Quarterly 9/1/17 4.96 4.70 5.53

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 80.59
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 94.14 138.24 71.60 84.15 12 1 -- --
Annual 87.99 114.67 71.00 84.32 13 1 -- --
Annual 81.66 92.87 71.70 82.25 13 1 -- --
Quarterly 81.67 81.67 81.67 81.67 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 78.58 85.45 71.70 78.58 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 85.87 85.87 85.87 85.87 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 89.76 89.76 89.76 89.76 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 80.59 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 72.33 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 64.21 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 83.20 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 79.13 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 80.59 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 78.23 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 24.72
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 30.51 34.30 27.25 30.22 7 -- -- 0.00
Annual 27.79 30.70 25.60 27.70 7 4 2 1.18
Annual 24.75 28.30 22.00 24.64 7 4 2 1.04

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 24.72 22.45 10.12
Annual 12/1/16 8.36 11.53 -27.49
Annual 12/1/15 18.37 14.53 26.41
Quarterly 12/1/17 9.28 18.88 -50.85
Quarterly 9/1/17 5.83 16.22 -64.06

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 2.84 3.37 2.20 2.76 17 2 -- 0.04
Annual 2.60 3.12 2.10 2.50 19 2 -- 0.02
Annual 2.33 2.61 2.00 2.30 19 1 -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 1 1 -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 2.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1.70 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 -- -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 4,878.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 6,432.26 7,017.23 5,960.00 6,460.38 18 1 1 -0.01
Annual 5,990.11 6,351.33 5,566.00 6,029.90 20 1 1 -0.01
Annual 5,528.30 5,694.00 5,288.00 5,541.00 19 1 1 0.19
Quarterly 1,508.20 1,591.00 1,412.00 1,508.30 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 1,429.37 1,568.00 1,349.60 1,394.00 7 -- -- 0.28
Quarterly 1,298.00 1,298.00 1,298.00 1,298.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 1,625.00 1,625.00 1,625.00 1,625.00 1 1 -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4,878.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3,475.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 3,050.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,449.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,156.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,196.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 1,313.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 5,664.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 7,173.97 7,800.00 6,370.00 7,198.47 17 1 1 -0.01
Annual 6,743.65 7,211.00 6,185.00 6,818.80 19 1 1 -0.01
Annual 6,257.85 6,424.00 6,004.00 6,274.14 18 1 1 0.22
Quarterly 1,696.67 1,767.00 1,605.00 1,699.00 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 1,651.60 1,760.00 1,556.00 1,690.00 5 3 1 3.23
Quarterly 1,502.00 1,502.00 1,502.00 1,502.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 1,828.00 1,828.00 1,828.00 1,828.00 1 1 -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 5,664.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 4,250.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 3,575.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,631.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,338.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 1,503.00 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 15.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 27.78 32.89 25.10 27.19 14 1 -- 0.03
Annual 24.80 28.00 20.16 24.79 16 1 -- 0.02
Annual 22.32 23.54 21.00 22.38 14 -- -- --
Quarterly 6.00 6.10 5.91 6.00 2 2 -- 2.42
Quarterly 5.29 5.33 5.24 5.29 2 1 1 -1.89

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 15.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 8.92 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 11.95 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.36 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 4.11 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 4.10 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 4.32 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 5,638.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 5,298.88 8,030.00 1,400.00 5,564.00 13 -- 1 --
Annual 5,028.20 7,336.00 477.00 5,094.00 15 -- 1 --
Annual 5,126.85 7,562.00 2,585.00 5,194.90 18 1 1 -0.00
Quarterly 5,971.00 5,971.00 5,971.00 5,971.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6,689.50 7,562.00 5,817.00 6,689.50 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 5,260.00 5,260.00 5,260.00 5,260.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 4,579.00 4,579.00 4,579.00 4,579.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 5,638.00 6,297.59 -10.47
Annual 12/1/16 8,369.00 7,930.11 5.53
Annual 12/1/15 -546.00 3,945.65 -113.84
Quarterly 6/1/18 5,454.00 6,206.00 -12.12
Quarterly 3/1/18 6,116.00 5,853.00 4.49
Quarterly 12/1/17 5,638.00 6,567.00 -14.15
Quarterly 9/1/17 6,361.00 6,895.00 -7.74

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 3,484.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 4,762.47 5,182.27 4,327.00 4,727.92 16 1 1 0.43
Annual 4,417.86 4,719.52 4,184.00 4,410.00 17 1 1 0.37
Annual 4,061.43 4,220.00 3,851.00 4,078.50 16 1 -- 0.48
Quarterly 1,108.23 1,170.00 1,028.00 1,113.70 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 1,012.08 1,048.00 976.00 1,012.15 4 2 1 3.29

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3,484.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2,506.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2,211.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,214.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 786.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 906.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 941.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): 4,878.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 5,833.00 5,833.00 5,833.00 5,833.00 1 1 -- --
Annual 5,377.00 5,377.00 5,377.00 5,377.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4,878.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2,897.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,196.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 1,313.00 -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 24.66
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 31.61 40.90 20.54 32.20 13 -- 1 --
Annual 29.38 37.20 20.90 29.98 14 -- 1 --
Annual 27.36 32.10 23.20 27.42 14 11 -- 4.20

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 24.66 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 19.87 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 24.76 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 74,901.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 84,662.32 88,256.00 80,789.00 85,366.00 18 1 1 -0.02
Annual 81,190.63 83,069.00 78,211.00 81,550.13 20 1 1 -0.01
Annual 77,595.54 79,021.00 75,725.00 77,758.00 19 -- 2 -0.02
Quarterly 19,569.95 19,927.00 19,279.40 19,560.00 9 1 -- 0.41
Quarterly 20,065.30 20,666.00 19,309.10 20,077.50 8 -- 1 0.40
Quarterly 19,389.00 19,389.00 19,389.00 19,389.00 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 20,644.00 20,644.00 20,644.00 20,644.00 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 74,901.00 74,239.72 0.89
Annual 12/1/16 67,747.00 67,814.79 -0.10
Annual 12/1/15 50,869.00 51,247.07 -0.74
Quarterly 6/1/18 19,491.00 19,527.58 -0.19
Quarterly 3/1/18 18,380.00 18,833.85 -2.41
Quarterly 12/1/17 19,019.00 18,666.89 1.89
Quarterly 9/1/17 18,735.00 18,444.16 1.58

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Firma Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 24.42 21.30 1.15
FY1 21.78 19.60 1.11
FY2 19.52 16.81 1.16

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Firma Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 20.60 608.14 0.17
FY2/FY1 12.11 -11.17 1.26
FY3/FY2 12.11 -11.17 1.26

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