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Earnings Estimates

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Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 579.00
Price - 52 Week High: 596.60
Price - 52 Week Low: 424.00
Price Date (Latest): 4/16/19
Median Price Target: 631.13
Diff from Prev Close: 52.13
% Difference: 9.00

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.81

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 22.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.25
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 19.48
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 9.42
Yield (%): 0.39

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 28.59 32.44 26.29 28.80 11 1 1 0.80
Annual 25.79 26.95 24.36 25.89 14 1 5 -0.96
Annual 23.16 25.74 18.35 23.43 17 1 6 -2.87
Quarterly 5.18 5.98 4.60 5.07 4 -- 2 -1.11
Quarterly 6.50 6.85 6.11 6.55 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 7.06 8.11 6.29 6.77 3 1 -- --
Quarterly 5.05 6.19 3.17 5.78 3 1 -- --
Long Term Growth 12.04 14.90 10.65 10.95 5 -- 1 9.38

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 22.10 22.08 0.10
Annual 12/1/17 18.40 17.97 2.40
Annual 12/1/16 13.40 12.94 3.59
Quarterly 12/1/18 5.22 5.59 -6.54
Quarterly 9/1/18 6.10 6.06 0.63
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.50 6.03 7.76
Quarterly 3/1/18 4.20 4.58 -8.34

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 81.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 114.29 180.70 79.91 105.51 6 -- 1 2.20
Annual 98.57 175.10 77.48 89.63 10 -- 3 3.79
Annual 82.21 101.00 64.10 81.25 11 1 3 -6.62
Quarterly 80.10 80.10 80.10 80.10 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 84.13 84.13 84.13 84.13 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 88.40 88.40 88.40 88.40 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 85.05 92.09 72.40 87.85 4 -- 1 --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 81.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 80.59 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 72.33 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 81.80 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 84.65 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 83.20 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 79.13 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 23.21
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 38.18 48.30 30.20 35.36 5 -- 1 -0.37
Annual 34.17 44.40 27.20 30.70 6 -- 2 -0.22
Annual 31.74 40.97 23.70 29.60 6 1 -- -0.08

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 23.21 25.11 -7.55
Annual 12/1/17 24.72 22.45 10.12
Annual 12/1/16 8.36 11.53 -27.49

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.25
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3.26 5.35 2.55 3.00 12 1 -- 11.50
Annual 2.93 4.30 2.37 2.75 15 2 2 8.59
Annual 2.49 3.60 1.81 2.46 17 2 3 1.42
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.25 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 2.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1.80 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.25 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 5,450.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 7,518.23 10,263.00 6,458.53 6,986.00 11 2 -- 8.13
Annual 6,661.34 8,623.50 5,358.00 6,489.00 15 4 1 2.87
Annual 5,991.52 6,249.40 4,147.00 6,159.25 16 2 2 -1.88
Quarterly 1,308.25 1,420.00 1,217.00 1,298.00 4 -- -- 0.94
Quarterly 1,586.67 1,607.00 1,555.00 1,598.00 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 1,680.00 1,717.00 1,650.00 1,673.00 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 1,476.50 1,506.00 1,447.00 1,476.50 2 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5,450.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 4,878.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3,475.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,338.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,507.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,449.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,156.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 6,212.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10,204.10 10,733.00 8,427.02 10,434.22 9 1 -- 0.59
Annual 10,162.28 11,728.00 9,807.00 9,940.00 8 2 -- 3.04
Annual 9,324.59 9,859.00 7,426.00 9,509.00 11 2 2 -1.44
Quarterly 2,087.50 2,148.00 2,027.00 2,087.50 2 -- -- 0.74
Quarterly 2,376.00 2,376.00 2,376.00 2,376.00 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 2,505.00 2,505.00 2,505.00 2,505.00 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 1,702.00 1,702.00 1,702.00 1,702.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6,212.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 5,664.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 4,250.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,544.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,699.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,631.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,338.00 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 21.60
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 28.96 31.06 26.19 29.21 10 1 1 2.77
Annual 24.81 26.61 17.26 25.90 12 1 4 -4.33
Annual 22.40 25.34 10.50 23.42 14 1 5 -6.43
Quarterly 5.51 6.41 4.60 5.51 2 -- 1 1.82
Quarterly 7.05 7.05 7.05 7.05 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7.66 7.66 7.66 7.66 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 2.83 2.83 2.83 2.83 1 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 21.60 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 15.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 8.92 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 5.01 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 6.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.36 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 4.11 -- --

Reference Information - Net Asset Value

Last Actual (FY0): 14,532.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Asset Value

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 23,755.00 37,709.00 15,716.00 22,561.50 6 2 1 12.48
Annual 22,702.60 38,378.00 14,268.00 20,436.00 10 3 1 22.47
Annual 20,324.33 40,652.00 11,322.00 17,886.00 12 3 2 19.96
Quarterly 14,560.00 14,560.00 14,560.00 14,560.00 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 15,209.00 15,209.00 15,209.00 15,209.00 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 15,891.00 15,891.00 15,891.00 15,891.00 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 14,175.00 16,463.00 12,210.00 14,234.00 5 -- 2 -2.05

Actuals - Net Asset Value

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 14,532.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 14,835.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 13,378.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 14,532.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 15,294.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 15,179.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 14,458.00 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 5,831.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 14,265.41 26,615.00 1,901.00 13,841.00 7 1 1 31.77
Annual 12,149.57 19,180.00 4,189.00 14,596.02 9 2 1 20.37
Annual 10,781.96 17,605.00 1,590.00 11,780.74 14 4 2 16.46
Quarterly 6,845.00 6,845.00 6,845.00 6,845.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6,194.00 6,194.00 6,194.00 6,194.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 5,495.00 5,495.00 5,495.00 5,495.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6,427.83 8,340.00 5,029.00 6,241.50 6 2 -- 4.97

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5,831.00 5,639.95 3.39
Annual 12/1/17 5,638.00 6,297.59 -10.47
Annual 12/1/16 8,369.00 7,930.11 5.53
Quarterly 12/1/18 5,831.00 6,189.33 -5.79
Quarterly 9/1/18 5,602.00 5,971.00 -6.18
Quarterly 6/1/18 5,454.00 6,206.00 -12.12
Quarterly 3/1/18 6,116.00 5,853.00 4.49

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 4,093.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 5,049.05 6,348.00 4,516.00 4,887.00 10 2 -- 3.68
Annual 4,689.29 5,751.00 4,344.00 4,629.30 13 2 2 2.19
Annual 4,277.21 4,434.00 4,147.89 4,279.00 16 1 3 0.00
Quarterly 942.30 1,069.00 875.20 912.50 4 1 1 -1.04
Quarterly 1,182.33 1,223.00 1,140.00 1,184.00 3 -- 2 -1.04
Quarterly 1,272.33 1,449.00 1,151.00 1,217.00 3 1 1 2.10
Quarterly 838.50 1,107.00 570.00 838.50 2 1 -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4,093.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 3,484.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2,506.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 967.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,126.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,214.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 786.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 5,833.00 5,833.00 5,833.00 5,833.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4,878.00 -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 28.43 33.41 18.70 28.90 8 1 -- 5.84
Annual 27.80 31.60 22.70 28.55 10 1 1 1.33
Annual 28.79 34.60 26.10 28.86 12 3 1 1.11

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 24.66 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 19.87 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 79,053.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 93,623.57 136,778.80 87,081.67 89,099.52 10 1 -- 5.29
Annual 88,694.02 131,047.00 81,391.00 85,401.74 13 2 1 3.97
Annual 82,401.63 83,900.00 80,568.88 82,311.50 16 1 2 0.18
Quarterly 19,463.60 20,298.99 19,008.00 19,278.00 5 1 1 0.02
Quarterly 20,434.90 20,834.60 20,190.00 20,357.50 4 -- 2 -0.09
Quarterly 20,931.40 21,130.00 20,815.59 20,890.00 4 1 1 0.09
Quarterly 21,477.12 21,722.00 21,149.35 21,560.00 3 1 -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 79,053.00 78,274.36 0.99
Annual 12/1/17 74,901.00 74,239.72 0.89
Annual 12/1/16 67,747.00 67,814.79 -0.10
Quarterly 12/1/18 20,945.00 20,262.39 3.37
Quarterly 9/1/18 20,237.00 19,611.06 3.19
Quarterly 6/1/18 19,491.00 19,527.58 -0.19
Quarterly 3/1/18 18,380.00 18,833.85 -2.41

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Firma Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 25.00 21.76 1.15
FY1 22.45 1,035.34 0.02
FY2 20.25 79.30 0.26

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Firma Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 4.81 25.90 0.83
FY2/FY1 11.33 18.95 0.94
FY3/FY2 11.33 18.95 0.94

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