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Earnings Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 586.60
Price - 52 Week High: 589.40
Price - 52 Week Low: 448.00
Price Date (Latest): 8/17/18
Median Price Target: 576.11
Diff from Prev Close: -10.49
% Difference: -1.79

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.32

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 18.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 2.32
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 16.96
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 9.87
Yield (%): 0.40

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 27.59 32.89 23.44 27.41 18 12 1 2.84
Annual 24.75 28.00 22.17 24.71 20 15 1 2.97
Annual 21.96 23.40 20.20 22.20 20 13 1 2.87
Quarterly 5.94 6.36 5.63 5.92 5 3 -- --
Quarterly 5.17 5.42 4.85 5.21 4 1 1 --
Quarterly 5.19 5.19 5.19 5.19 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6.61 6.61 6.61 6.61 1 1 -- --
Long Term Growth 15.57 17.80 12.69 16.23 3 2 -- 5.40

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 18.40 17.97 2.40
Annual 12/1/16 13.40 12.94 3.59
Annual 12/1/15 12.85 11.99 7.14
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.50 6.03 7.76
Quarterly 3/1/18 4.20 4.58 -8.34
Quarterly 12/1/17 4.80 4.39 9.40
Quarterly 9/1/17 4.96 4.70 5.53

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 80.59
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 93.85 135.17 71.20 84.15 12 5 4 0.03
Annual 87.79 112.45 70.70 84.32 13 6 5 -1.38
Annual 81.63 91.54 71.50 82.53 13 6 3 -2.11
Quarterly 81.67 81.67 81.67 81.67 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 85.45 85.45 85.45 85.45 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 85.87 85.87 85.87 85.87 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 89.76 89.76 89.76 89.76 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 80.59 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 72.33 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 64.21 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 83.20 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 79.13 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 80.59 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 78.23 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 24.72
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 30.51 34.30 27.25 30.22 7 4 2 1.36
Annual 27.79 30.70 25.60 27.70 7 4 2 1.18
Annual 24.75 28.30 22.00 24.64 7 4 2 1.04

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 24.72 22.45 10.12
Annual 12/1/16 8.36 11.53 -27.49
Annual 12/1/15 18.37 14.53 26.41
Quarterly 12/1/17 9.28 18.88 -50.85
Quarterly 9/1/17 5.83 16.22 -64.06

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 2.84 3.35 2.20 2.76 17 5 2 -2.13
Annual 2.59 3.12 2.10 2.50 19 5 2 -1.88
Annual 2.32 2.61 2.00 2.29 19 4 1 -0.38
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 1 1 -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 2.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1.70 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 -- -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 4,878.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 6,401.78 7,017.23 5,617.62 6,460.38 18 12 1 2.58
Annual 5,964.75 6,351.33 5,508.32 6,029.90 20 13 2 2.45
Annual 5,500.06 5,694.00 5,288.00 5,534.00 20 13 1 2.15
Quarterly 1,500.87 1,591.00 1,412.00 1,503.50 6 4 1 --
Quarterly 1,410.38 1,568.00 1,273.30 1,382.50 6 3 2 2.32
Quarterly 1,298.00 1,298.00 1,298.00 1,298.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 1,625.00 1,625.00 1,625.00 1,625.00 1 1 -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4,878.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3,475.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 3,050.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,449.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,156.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,196.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 1,313.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 5,664.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 7,141.20 7,800.00 6,293.62 7,198.47 17 8 3 1.96
Annual 6,716.88 7,211.00 6,184.32 6,818.80 19 10 5 1.89
Annual 6,230.67 6,424.00 5,968.71 6,260.00 19 11 3 1.50
Quarterly 1,700.00 1,767.00 1,605.00 1,718.00 5 3 -- --
Quarterly 1,649.80 1,760.00 1,556.00 1,687.00 5 2 1 3.13
Quarterly 1,502.00 1,502.00 1,502.00 1,502.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 1,828.00 1,828.00 1,828.00 1,828.00 1 1 -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 5,664.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 4,250.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 3,575.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,631.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,338.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 1,503.00 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 15.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 27.71 32.89 24.70 27.19 14 9 1 2.11
Annual 24.75 28.00 20.16 24.79 16 11 -- 2.19
Annual 22.09 23.54 20.20 22.36 15 8 -- 3.52
Quarterly 5.86 6.10 5.63 5.86 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 5.05 5.24 4.85 5.05 2 -- 1 --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 15.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 8.92 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 11.95 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.36 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 4.11 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 4.10 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 4.32 -- --

Reference Information - Net Asset Value

Last Actual (FY0): 14,835.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Asset Value

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 16,133.20 26,382.00 11,597.00 14,107.50 10 3 3 -2.51
Annual 15,893.45 22,101.00 12,135.00 14,324.00 11 5 4 -0.81
Annual 15,280.84 18,303.00 12,692.00 15,171.00 12 4 3 -1.57
Quarterly 15,122.00 15,122.00 15,122.00 15,122.00 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 15,707.00 15,707.00 15,707.00 15,707.00 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 15,710.00 15,710.00 15,710.00 15,710.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 16,333.00 16,333.00 16,333.00 16,333.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Asset Value

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 14,835.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 13,378.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 11,841.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 15,179.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 14,458.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 14,835.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 14,490.00 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 5,638.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3,144.73 8,030.00 -6,538.00 4,685.54 15 7 2 37.39
Annual 4,179.91 7,336.00 -1,728.00 4,553.50 16 7 3 12.79
Annual 5,146.12 7,565.00 2,585.00 5,194.90 18 7 3 10.74
Quarterly 5,971.00 5,971.00 5,971.00 5,971.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 5,817.00 5,817.00 5,817.00 5,817.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 5,260.00 5,260.00 5,260.00 5,260.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 4,579.00 4,579.00 4,579.00 4,579.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 5,638.00 6,297.59 -10.47
Annual 12/1/16 8,369.00 7,930.11 5.53
Annual 12/1/15 -546.00 3,945.65 -113.84
Quarterly 6/1/18 5,454.00 6,206.00 -12.12
Quarterly 3/1/18 6,116.00 5,853.00 4.49
Quarterly 12/1/17 5,638.00 6,567.00 -14.15
Quarterly 9/1/17 6,361.00 6,895.00 -7.74

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 3,484.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 4,732.30 5,182.27 4,057.16 4,727.92 16 11 -- 2.64
Annual 4,391.91 4,719.52 3,963.52 4,410.00 17 12 -- 2.86
Annual 4,022.00 4,220.00 3,791.85 4,046.00 17 9 -- 4.16
Quarterly 1,102.12 1,170.00 1,028.00 1,130.00 5 3 -- 2.00
Quarterly 990.50 1,048.00 904.00 1,005.00 4 1 1 1.19

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3,484.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2,506.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2,211.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,214.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 786.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 906.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 941.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): 4,878.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 5,833.00 5,833.00 5,833.00 5,833.00 1 1 -- --
Annual 5,377.00 5,377.00 5,377.00 5,377.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4,878.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2,897.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,196.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/17 1,313.00 -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 24.66
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 31.60 41.00 20.29 32.20 13 10 1 6.70
Annual 29.35 37.20 20.90 29.98 14 12 -- 5.46
Annual 27.31 32.10 23.20 27.42 14 10 -- 4.02

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 24.66 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 19.87 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 24.76 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 74,901.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 84,584.01 88,256.00 80,789.00 85,366.00 18 5 6 -0.08
Annual 81,145.77 83,069.00 78,211.00 81,550.13 20 6 7 -0.17
Annual 77,473.54 79,021.00 75,342.00 77,675.00 20 7 6 -0.05
Quarterly 19,460.67 19,644.00 19,087.90 19,515.77 7 2 2 --
Quarterly 20,021.88 20,666.00 19,313.40 19,907.75 7 2 3 0.29
Quarterly 19,389.00 19,389.00 19,389.00 19,389.00 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 20,644.00 20,644.00 20,644.00 20,644.00 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 74,901.00 74,239.72 0.89
Annual 12/1/16 67,747.00 67,814.79 -0.10
Annual 12/1/15 50,869.00 51,247.07 -0.74
Quarterly 6/1/18 19,491.00 19,527.58 -0.19
Quarterly 3/1/18 18,380.00 18,833.85 -2.41
Quarterly 12/1/17 19,019.00 18,666.89 1.89
Quarterly 9/1/17 18,735.00 18,444.16 1.58

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Firma Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 26.71 25.24 1.06
FY1 23.70 20.71 1.14
FY2 21.26 16.58 1.28

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Firma Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 19.37 582.06 0.18
FY2/FY1 12.67 -11.43 1.27
FY3/FY2 12.67 -11.43 1.27

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