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Earnings Estimates

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Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 482.40
Price - 52 Week High: 611.40
Price - 52 Week Low: 448.00
Price Date (Latest): 12/18/18
Median Price Target: 588.24
Diff from Prev Close: 105.84
% Difference: 21.94

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.22

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 18.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 2.32
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 18.78
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 9.78
Yield (%): 0.48

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 27.64 30.16 25.57 27.45 17 1 -- 1.26
Annual 24.86 26.08 22.17 25.25 18 1 -- 1.06
Annual 22.28 22.99 21.49 22.29 17 -- 1 0.44
Quarterly 5.48 5.57 5.39 5.47 3 -- -- 15.46
Quarterly 5.31 5.40 5.21 5.31 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 6.48 6.63 6.33 6.48 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 6.72 6.81 6.63 6.72 2 1 -- --
Long Term Growth 15.76 18.20 14.41 14.67 3 2 1 4.31

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 18.40 17.97 2.40
Annual 12/1/16 13.40 12.94 3.59
Annual 12/1/15 12.85 11.99 7.14
Quarterly 9/1/18 6.10 6.06 0.63
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.50 6.03 7.76
Quarterly 3/1/18 4.20 4.58 -8.34
Quarterly 12/1/17 4.80 4.39 9.40

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 80.59
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 96.31 131.56 74.10 95.40 11 1 -- --
Annual 88.99 107.95 72.40 89.59 12 1 -- --
Annual 82.37 88.00 72.50 83.63 12 1 -- --
Quarterly 82.68 88.00 72.50 85.11 4 1 -- --
Quarterly 87.27 87.27 87.27 87.27 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 91.48 91.48 91.48 91.48 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 95.88 95.88 95.88 95.88 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 80.59 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 72.33 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 64.21 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 84.65 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 83.20 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 79.13 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 80.59 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 24.72
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 31.15 33.90 29.15 30.82 5 -- -- --
Annual 28.40 30.10 26.65 28.44 5 -- -- --
Annual 25.23 27.70 22.84 25.58 5 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 24.72 22.45 10.12
Annual 12/1/16 8.36 11.53 -27.49
Annual 12/1/15 18.37 14.53 26.41
Quarterly 12/1/17 9.28 18.88 -50.85

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 2.69 3.29 2.00 2.65 16 -- 1 -0.26
Annual 2.47 2.92 2.00 2.50 17 1 -- 0.76
Annual 2.27 2.56 2.00 2.25 17 -- 1 --
Quarterly 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 1 1 -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 2.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 1.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 2.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 4,878.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 6,420.84 7,004.75 5,972.00 6,373.50 18 -- 1 --
Annual 5,982.70 6,310.39 5,566.00 5,997.71 18 -- 1 -0.22
Annual 5,533.25 5,648.00 5,453.00 5,511.00 17 -- 1 0.17
Quarterly 1,434.80 1,568.00 1,358.60 1,446.00 7 1 1 0.38
Quarterly 1,304.00 1,304.00 1,304.00 1,304.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 1,632.00 1,632.00 1,632.00 1,632.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 1,663.00 1,663.00 1,663.00 1,663.00 1 1 -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4,878.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3,475.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 3,050.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,507.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,449.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,156.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,196.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 5,664.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 7,193.34 7,773.52 6,780.36 7,173.00 16 -- 1 -0.23
Annual 6,756.76 7,052.75 6,396.00 6,762.00 17 -- 1 -0.21
Annual 6,281.55 6,381.00 6,220.60 6,258.50 16 -- 1 0.12
Quarterly 1,651.80 1,760.00 1,574.00 1,639.00 5 -- 1 0.12
Quarterly 1,508.00 1,508.00 1,508.00 1,508.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 1,835.00 1,835.00 1,835.00 1,835.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 1,873.00 1,873.00 1,873.00 1,873.00 1 1 -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 5,664.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 4,250.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 3,575.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,699.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,631.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,338.00 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 15.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 27.62 30.11 25.57 27.45 13 1 -- 1.70
Annual 25.05 26.58 23.64 25.30 13 1 -- 1.71
Annual 22.27 23.41 21.70 22.08 13 -- 1 -0.08
Quarterly 5.39 5.39 5.39 5.39 1 1 -- 1.00

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 15.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 8.92 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 11.95 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 6.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.36 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 4.11 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 4.10 -- --

Reference Information - Net Asset Value

Last Actual (FY0): 14,835.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Asset Value

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 15,741.14 20,878.00 11,791.00 14,600.00 7 1 -- -8.26
Annual 15,709.50 22,101.00 12,210.00 14,719.50 8 1 -- -4.33
Annual 15,226.57 18,303.00 12,924.00 14,798.00 9 1 -- -1.66
Quarterly 14,397.20 15,887.00 12,924.00 14,770.00 5 1 -- --
Quarterly 15,947.00 15,947.00 15,947.00 15,947.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 16,625.00 16,625.00 16,625.00 16,625.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 17,329.00 17,329.00 17,329.00 17,329.00 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Net Asset Value

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 14,835.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 13,378.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 11,841.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 15,294.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 15,179.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 14,458.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 14,835.00 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 5,638.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 5,507.76 8,021.00 2,864.00 6,084.00 11 7 1 -0.63
Annual 5,283.63 7,336.00 3,346.00 5,137.12 14 6 4 -0.11
Annual 5,512.15 6,104.00 4,515.00 5,547.00 15 6 3 2.91
Quarterly 6,189.33 7,536.00 5,440.00 5,932.50 6 -- 1 --
Quarterly 5,143.00 5,143.00 5,143.00 5,143.00 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 4,408.00 4,408.00 4,408.00 4,408.00 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3,633.00 3,633.00 3,633.00 3,633.00 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 5,638.00 6,297.59 -10.47
Annual 12/1/16 8,369.00 7,930.11 5.53
Annual 12/1/15 -546.00 3,945.65 -113.84
Quarterly 9/1/18 5,602.00 5,971.00 -6.18
Quarterly 6/1/18 5,454.00 6,206.00 -12.12
Quarterly 3/1/18 6,116.00 5,853.00 4.49
Quarterly 12/1/17 5,638.00 6,567.00 -14.15

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 3,484.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 4,741.90 5,172.66 4,392.93 4,682.50 14 -- 1 -0.29
Annual 4,403.55 4,688.00 4,212.00 4,366.00 15 -- 1 -0.27
Annual 4,069.79 4,154.52 3,887.00 4,080.38 14 -- 1 0.26
Quarterly 1,001.40 1,034.00 978.00 992.20 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3,484.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2,506.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2,211.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,126.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,214.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 786.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 906.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): 4,878.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 5,833.00 5,833.00 5,833.00 5,833.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 5,377.00 5,377.00 5,377.00 5,377.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4,878.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2,897.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,196.00 -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 24.66
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 30.67 38.80 21.72 31.00 12 -- 1 --
Annual 28.98 34.80 20.90 29.53 13 -- 1 --
Annual 27.23 29.40 23.20 27.27 13 -- 1 --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 24.66 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 19.87 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 24.76 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 74,901.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 85,559.02 89,676.00 81,632.00 85,054.50 17 -- 1 -0.08
Annual 82,082.02 83,827.00 78,743.00 82,363.40 18 -- 1 -0.07
Annual 78,175.69 79,021.00 75,725.00 78,294.55 17 -- 1 -0.02
Quarterly 20,212.77 20,666.00 19,138.00 20,345.20 8 3 1 1.13
Quarterly 19,779.97 20,087.95 19,472.00 19,779.97 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 20,735.32 20,737.63 20,733.00 20,735.32 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 21,025.73 21,190.00 20,861.46 21,025.73 2 1 -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 74,901.00 74,239.72 0.89
Annual 12/1/16 67,747.00 67,814.79 -0.10
Annual 12/1/15 50,869.00 51,247.07 -0.74
Quarterly 9/1/18 20,237.00 19,611.06 3.19
Quarterly 6/1/18 19,491.00 19,527.58 -0.19
Quarterly 3/1/18 18,380.00 18,833.85 -2.41
Quarterly 12/1/17 19,019.00 18,666.89 1.89

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Firma Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 21.66 21.46 1.01
FY1 19.40 19.99 0.97
FY2 17.45 16.76 1.04

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Firma Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 21.06 516.65 0.20
FY2/FY1 11.61 -5.60 1.18
FY3/FY2 11.61 -5.60 1.18

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