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Earnings estimates

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Earnings estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 540.00
Price - 52 Week High: 549.00
Price - 52 Week Low: 424.00
Price Date (Latest): 2/21/19
Median Price Target: 602.00
Diff from Prev Close: 62.00
% Difference: 11.48

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.93

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 22.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.25
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 19.48
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 9.42
Yield (%): 0.42

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 28.68 33.00 25.31 28.30 11 -- 1 -7.93
Annual 26.34 28.94 24.36 26.25 18 -- 14 -3.66
Annual 24.13 25.88 22.87 24.08 18 1 14 -2.19
Quarterly 5.46 6.41 5.05 5.20 4 -- 2 4.13
Quarterly 6.57 7.05 6.11 6.55 3 -- 2 -1.52
Quarterly 6.91 7.66 6.29 6.77 3 -- 2 -1.83
Quarterly 4.93 6.19 2.83 5.78 3 -- 1 8.38
Long Term Growth 13.24 14.61 10.70 14.41 3 -- 1 -10.57

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 22.10 22.08 0.10
Annual 12/1/17 18.40 17.97 2.40
Annual 12/1/16 13.40 12.94 3.59
Quarterly 12/1/18 5.22 5.59 -6.54
Quarterly 9/1/18 6.10 6.06 0.63
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.50 6.03 7.76
Quarterly 3/1/18 4.20 4.58 -8.34

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 81.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 110.47 149.30 63.80 111.55 6 -- -- -0.97
Annual 95.86 126.50 63.60 98.45 12 2 5 0.91
Annual 86.41 104.30 64.40 86.96 12 1 6 -2.20
Quarterly 80.10 80.10 80.10 80.10 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 84.13 84.13 84.13 84.13 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 88.40 88.40 88.40 88.40 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 85.05 92.09 72.40 87.85 4 -- 1 --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 81.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 80.59 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 72.33 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 81.80 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 84.65 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 83.20 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 79.13 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 23.21
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 39.62 48.60 30.20 39.85 4 -- -- -4.32
Annual 34.60 44.50 27.20 31.09 6 2 1 10.95
Annual 31.99 40.97 23.70 29.91 6 3 -- 12.27

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 23.21 25.11 -7.55
Annual 12/1/17 24.72 22.45 10.12
Annual 12/1/16 8.36 11.53 -27.49

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.25
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 2.90 3.20 2.55 2.95 12 -- -- 3.52
Annual 2.70 3.10 2.37 2.75 17 5 6 1.32
Annual 2.47 2.64 2.19 2.50 17 6 5 0.84
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.25 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 2.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1.80 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.25 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 -- -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 5,450.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 6,833.06 7,208.60 6,330.00 6,850.00 11 1 -- -0.83
Annual 6,454.98 6,770.60 5,982.00 6,475.45 18 2 9 1.57
Annual 6,091.26 6,294.40 5,792.00 6,099.23 18 3 9 2.54
Quarterly 1,326.00 1,378.00 1,274.00 1,326.00 2 -- 1 0.23
Quarterly 1,589.50 1,607.00 1,572.00 1,589.50 2 -- 1 2.67
Quarterly 1,665.50 1,681.00 1,650.00 1,665.50 2 -- 1 0.93
Quarterly 1,506.00 1,506.00 1,506.00 1,506.00 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5,450.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 4,878.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3,475.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,338.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,507.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,449.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,156.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 6,212.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10,256.61 10,490.00 9,616.00 10,380.61 8 -- -- 27.85
Annual 9,887.93 10,116.00 9,740.00 9,854.27 9 1 4 28.08
Annual 9,467.34 9,556.22 9,234.51 9,510.50 10 10 5 29.28
Quarterly 2,193.00 2,193.00 2,193.00 2,193.00 1 -- -- 31.17
Quarterly 2,388.00 2,388.00 2,388.00 2,388.00 1 -- -- 27.24
Quarterly 2,498.00 2,498.00 2,498.00 2,498.00 1 -- -- 28.34
Quarterly 1,702.00 1,702.00 1,702.00 1,702.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6,212.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 5,664.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 4,250.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,544.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,699.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,631.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,338.00 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 21.60
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 28.76 32.42 25.31 28.50 10 -- -- -2.39
Annual 26.46 28.50 24.26 26.20 16 -- 9 -3.74
Annual 24.09 25.48 22.49 24.12 16 -- 10 -3.30
Quarterly 5.30 5.30 5.30 5.30 1 -- -- 3.77

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 21.60 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 15.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 8.92 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 5.01 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 6.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.36 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 4.11 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 5,831.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 7,891.33 15,828.00 1,901.00 4,744.85 5 -- -- -100.57
Annual 8,688.14 18,072.00 3,115.55 7,355.00 13 3 3 29.30
Annual 8,193.99 15,457.70 2,704.00 6,161.00 17 5 4 32.96
Quarterly 6,845.00 6,845.00 6,845.00 6,845.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6,194.00 6,194.00 6,194.00 6,194.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 5,495.00 5,495.00 5,495.00 5,495.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 6,427.83 8,340.00 5,029.00 6,241.50 6 2 -- 4.97

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5,831.00 5,639.95 3.39
Annual 12/1/17 5,638.00 6,297.59 -10.47
Annual 12/1/16 8,369.00 7,930.11 5.53
Quarterly 12/1/18 5,831.00 6,189.33 -5.79
Quarterly 9/1/18 5,602.00 5,971.00 -6.18
Quarterly 6/1/18 5,454.00 6,206.00 -12.12
Quarterly 3/1/18 6,116.00 5,853.00 4.49

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 4,093.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 4,854.68 5,184.00 4,516.00 4,858.00 9 -- -- -2.32
Annual 4,600.43 4,886.00 4,344.00 4,622.00 16 -- 10 -1.67
Annual 4,297.24 4,442.99 4,147.89 4,302.50 16 1 10 -1.49
Quarterly 999.20 999.20 999.20 999.20 1 -- -- 2.74
Quarterly 1,153.00 1,153.00 1,153.00 1,153.00 1 -- -- 5.12
Quarterly 1,158.00 1,158.00 1,158.00 1,158.00 1 -- -- 5.87

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4,093.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 3,484.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2,506.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 967.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,126.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,214.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 786.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 5,833.00 5,833.00 5,833.00 5,833.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 4,878.00 -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 30.74 47.40 18.60 29.20 9 1 -- 14.44
Annual 29.36 41.60 21.40 29.05 14 3 6 -3.47
Annual 28.61 34.60 25.50 28.65 14 2 8 -0.64

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 24.66 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 19.87 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 79,053.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 88,478.28 91,943.00 84,373.90 88,674.50 12 -- 2 -3.19
Annual 85,101.05 87,439.00 81,391.00 84,972.94 18 5 8 -0.10
Annual 82,182.45 83,906.00 80,568.88 82,313.20 18 6 8 0.36
Quarterly 19,719.33 20,298.99 19,387.00 19,472.00 3 1 -- 0.58
Quarterly 20,682.20 20,834.60 20,479.00 20,733.00 3 1 -- 0.54
Quarterly 21,016.86 21,190.00 20,815.59 21,045.00 3 -- 1 -0.07
Quarterly 21,201.67 21,254.00 21,149.35 21,201.67 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 79,053.00 78,274.36 0.99
Annual 12/1/17 74,901.00 74,239.72 0.89
Annual 12/1/16 67,747.00 67,814.79 -0.10
Quarterly 12/1/18 20,945.00 20,262.39 3.37
Quarterly 9/1/18 20,237.00 19,611.06 3.19
Quarterly 6/1/18 19,491.00 19,527.58 -0.19
Quarterly 3/1/18 18,380.00 18,833.85 -2.41

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 22.38 21.13 1.06
FY1 20.50 16.90 1.21
FY2 18.83 16.52 1.14

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 9.17 -5.02 1.15
FY2/FY1 9.19 54.13 0.71
FY3/FY2 9.19 54.13 0.71

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