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Earnings estimates

Earnings estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 743.60
Price - 52 Week High: 753.40
Price - 52 Week Low: 424.00
Price Date (Latest): 11/15/19
Median Price Target: 721.61
Diff from Prev Close: -21.99
% Difference: -2.96

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.28

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 22.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.00
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 19.47
Yield (%): 0.27

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 32.72 41.50 27.54 32.99 18 8 3 3.00
Annual 26.73 33.59 21.52 27.30 18 8 2 2.70
Annual 22.78 24.65 19.75 23.19 17 5 1 -1.06
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 5.52 8.00 3.57 4.99 3 2 1 16.29
Long Term Growth 14.02 15.05 13.00 14.02 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 22.10 22.08 0.10
Annual 12/1/17 18.40 17.97 2.40
Annual 12/1/16 13.40 12.94 3.59
Quarterly 9/1/19 5.50 6.56 -16.13
Quarterly 6/1/19 6.30 6.39 -1.38
Quarterly 3/1/19 5.40 5.26 2.61
Quarterly 12/1/18 5.22 5.59 -6.54

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 81.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 198.06 213.67 184.61 196.00 7 -- 2 6.93
Annual 197.19 211.26 185.80 195.79 8 -- 2 -1.34
Annual 211.22 254.79 191.13 206.15 6 -- 2 19.53

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 81.80 81.50 0.36
Annual 12/1/17 80.59 77.18 4.42
Annual 12/1/16 72.33 71.27 1.48

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 23.21
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 46.39 57.50 32.78 46.92 7 3 -- 2.33
Annual 37.64 44.20 28.37 38.24 7 3 -- 2.05
Annual 35.97 46.06 24.47 38.76 6 2 1 3.52

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 23.21 25.11 -7.55
Annual 12/1/17 24.72 22.45 10.12
Annual 12/1/16 8.36 11.53 -27.49

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.25
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 4.82 5.55 3.10 4.96 16 7 2 2.98
Annual 3.82 5.10 2.29 3.92 16 7 2 0.70
Annual 3.09 3.73 2.39 3.03 15 5 4 -1.14

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.25 2.25 -0.17
Annual 12/1/17 2.00 2.32 -13.83
Annual 12/1/16 1.80 1.82 -0.90

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 5,450.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9,830.49 10,682.00 8,784.00 9,863.50 16 7 5 3.85
Annual 8,445.16 8,871.00 7,715.00 8,571.50 16 8 4 4.46
Annual 6,611.55 6,729.47 6,418.14 6,612.00 15 7 3 0.24
Quarterly 1,605.00 1,605.00 1,605.00 1,605.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 2,014.00 2,014.00 2,014.00 2,014.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 2,193.00 2,193.00 2,193.00 2,193.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 1,779.00 1,899.00 1,731.00 1,757.50 6 3 2 -0.66

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5,450.00 5,526.17 -1.38
Annual 12/1/17 4,878.00 4,781.24 2.02
Annual 12/1/16 3,475.00 3,253.67 6.80
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,785.00 1,772.00 0.73
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,631.00 1,589.67 2.60
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,454.00 1,316.40 10.45
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,338.00 1,399.89 -4.42

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 6,212.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 14,318.35 15,846.00 12,848.00 14,361.00 16 9 2 2.59
Annual 12,863.74 13,502.00 11,734.00 12,975.00 13 8 2 3.44
Annual 10,238.54 11,060.79 9,542.00 10,293.00 14 2 5 -1.27
Quarterly 2,704.00 2,704.00 2,704.00 2,704.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3,114.00 3,114.00 3,114.00 3,114.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 3,293.00 3,293.00 3,293.00 3,293.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 2,897.33 3,121.00 2,632.00 2,939.00 3 1 1 -3.91

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6,212.00 6,271.93 -0.96
Annual 12/1/17 5,664.00 5,514.60 2.71
Annual 12/1/16 4,250.00 4,280.03 -0.70
Quarterly 9/1/19 2,727.00 2,644.25 3.13
Quarterly 6/1/19 2,441.00 2,319.67 5.23
Quarterly 3/1/19 2,263.00 1,977.50 14.44
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,544.00 1,602.80 -3.67

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 21.60
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 31.38 34.51 26.35 31.60 13 7 2 6.06
Annual 21.99 23.42 19.42 22.55 13 5 4 0.34
Annual 20.61 23.67 15.90 20.80 13 2 7 -7.66
Quarterly 3.27 4.60 1.86 3.34 3 -- 2 -22.96

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 21.60 22.04 -2.01
Annual 12/1/17 15.80 16.01 -1.28
Annual 12/1/16 8.92 8.55 4.32
Quarterly 9/1/19 5.50 6.57 -16.29
Quarterly 6/1/19 6.30 6.36 -0.87
Quarterly 3/1/19 5.40 5.46 -1.01
Quarterly 12/1/18 5.01 4.85 3.28

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 5,831.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 24,825.81 30,817.00 10,470.53 25,734.00 11 4 3 8.33
Annual 23,318.61 28,254.00 13,496.20 24,069.00 12 6 2 19.32
Annual 18,449.37 21,389.00 14,845.64 18,504.00 13 8 -- 13.09

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5,831.00 5,639.95 3.39
Annual 12/1/17 5,638.00 6,297.59 -10.47
Annual 12/1/16 8,369.00 7,930.11 5.53

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 4,093.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 6,986.67 7,887.00 6,092.00 7,039.04 16 8 4 4.18
Annual 5,955.58 6,698.00 4,686.00 5,971.00 16 9 3 6.45
Annual 4,582.90 4,831.00 4,175.12 4,592.00 15 6 3 0.58
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 1,193.50 1,651.00 828.00 1,147.50 4 2 1 12.30

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4,093.00 4,041.27 1.28
Annual 12/1/17 3,484.00 3,279.12 6.25
Annual 12/1/16 2,506.00 2,418.20 3.63
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,149.00 1,095.50 4.88
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,149.00 1,125.17 2.12
Quarterly 3/1/19 971.00 948.50 2.37
Quarterly 12/1/18 967.00 854.58 13.16

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Quarterly 1,636.00 1,636.00 1,636.00 1,636.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 22.74 55.00 15.89 17.50 12 -- -- 6.59
Annual 18.13 42.90 12.01 13.50 12 -- -- 3.49
Annual 17.04 33.28 13.40 14.55 12 -- -- -10.93

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 24.66 23.59 1.07
Annual 12/1/16 19.87 17.41 2.46

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 79,053.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 128,849.47 135,600.00 119,093.00 129,251.00 17 1 10 -0.77
Annual 124,314.09 132,600.00 114,697.00 124,702.00 17 1 10 -1.03
Annual 95,617.48 102,641.82 90,860.00 95,637.83 16 3 6 -2.75
Quarterly 28,280.00 28,280.00 28,280.00 28,280.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 32,442.00 32,442.00 32,442.00 32,442.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 30,517.00 30,517.00 30,517.00 30,517.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 31,113.40 32,296.00 29,470.00 32,054.00 5 2 2 -0.81

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 79,053.00 78,274.36 0.99
Annual 12/1/17 74,901.00 74,239.72 0.89
Annual 12/1/16 67,747.00 67,814.79 -0.10
Quarterly 9/1/19 24,521.00 24,040.06 2.00
Quarterly 6/1/19 20,079.00 20,544.72 -2.27
Quarterly 3/1/19 19,979.00 19,587.33 2.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 20,945.00 20,262.39 3.37

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 33.65 32.64 27.81

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 3.19 17.35 22.40

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