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Earnings estimates

Earnings estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 769.60
Price - 52 Week High: 786.20
Price - 52 Week Low: 736.40
Price Date (Latest): 1/20/20
Median Price Target: 758.95
Diff from Prev Close: -10.65
% Difference: -1.38

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.45

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 22.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 19.47
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 32.62 37.00 27.34 33.15 18 2 1 -1.22
Annual 26.18 30.00 18.42 26.82 19 1 2 -1.49
Annual 22.49 24.50 15.70 23.19 19 -- 3 0.73
Quarterly 6.17 8.00 4.99 5.51 3 -- 1 11.71
Long Term Growth 14.97 16.74 13.00 15.07 4 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 22.10 22.08 0.10
Annual 12/1/17 18.40 17.97 2.40
Annual 12/1/16 13.40 12.94 3.59
Quarterly 9/1/19 5.50 6.56 -16.13
Quarterly 6/1/19 6.30 6.39 -1.38
Quarterly 3/1/19 5.40 5.26 2.61
Quarterly 12/1/18 5.22 5.59 -6.54

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 81.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 203.81 226.50 184.61 205.49 6 1 -- 1.82
Annual 202.36 229.40 188.21 198.88 7 1 -- 1.35
Annual 217.94 254.79 191.13 217.77 6 1 -- 1.07

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 81.80 81.50 0.36
Annual 12/1/17 80.59 77.18 4.42
Annual 12/1/16 72.33 71.27 1.48

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 23.21
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 43.65 52.43 35.48 45.41 7 1 -- -3.09
Annual 34.42 43.25 24.40 36.51 7 -- 1 -4.34
Annual 32.05 46.06 21.80 27.03 7 -- 1 -5.60

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 23.21 25.11 -7.55
Annual 12/1/17 24.72 22.45 10.12
Annual 12/1/16 8.36 11.53 -27.49

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.25
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 4.77 5.55 2.90 4.97 17 2 -- 0.66
Annual 3.75 5.10 2.29 4.01 18 1 1 0.91
Annual 3.08 3.73 2.35 3.03 17 1 -- 2.36
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 3.53 3.53 3.53 3.53 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.25 2.25 -0.17
Annual 12/1/17 2.00 2.32 -13.83
Annual 12/1/16 1.80 1.82 -0.90
Quarterly 3/1/19 2.25 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 2.25 2.20 2.27

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 5,450.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9,979.47 11,027.00 9,057.00 9,954.00 16 2 -- 0.02
Annual 8,583.28 9,346.00 7,691.00 8,675.00 17 2 -- 0.84
Annual 6,614.95 6,789.00 6,368.00 6,613.40 16 1 -- 0.01
Quarterly 1,777.75 1,899.00 1,731.00 1,740.50 4 -- -- 0.04

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5,450.00 5,526.17 -1.38
Annual 12/1/17 4,878.00 4,781.24 2.02
Annual 12/1/16 3,475.00 3,253.67 6.80
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,785.00 1,772.00 0.73
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,631.00 1,589.67 2.60
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,454.00 1,316.40 10.45
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,338.00 1,399.89 -4.42

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 6,212.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 14,497.09 16,191.00 13,125.00 14,431.92 16 2 -- -0.03
Annual 12,975.51 13,906.00 10,838.00 13,084.00 14 2 -- -0.05
Annual 10,218.34 11,060.79 9,344.00 10,230.20 17 2 -- -0.09
Quarterly 2,876.50 3,121.00 2,632.00 2,876.50 2 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6,212.00 6,271.93 -0.96
Annual 12/1/17 5,664.00 5,514.60 2.71
Annual 12/1/16 4,250.00 4,280.03 -0.70
Quarterly 9/1/19 2,727.00 2,644.25 3.13
Quarterly 6/1/19 2,441.00 2,319.67 5.23
Quarterly 3/1/19 2,263.00 1,977.50 14.44
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,544.00 1,602.80 -3.67

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 21.60
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 31.71 34.51 26.35 32.40 13 -- -- 0.27
Annual 22.14 25.00 18.42 22.73 14 -- -- 0.10
Annual 20.24 23.67 15.70 20.47 14 -- -- -0.48
Quarterly 3.97 4.60 3.34 3.97 2 -- -- 21.53

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 21.60 22.04 -2.01
Annual 12/1/17 15.80 16.01 -1.28
Annual 12/1/16 8.92 8.55 4.32
Quarterly 9/1/19 5.50 6.57 -16.29
Quarterly 6/1/19 6.30 6.36 -0.87
Quarterly 3/1/19 5.40 5.46 -1.01
Quarterly 12/1/18 5.01 4.85 3.28

Reference Information - Net Asset Value

Last Actual (FY0): 14,532.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Asset Value

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 32,733.57 42,423.00 8,266.00 37,207.00 7 -- -- -3.16
Annual 29,978.22 44,311.00 9,214.00 37,733.00 9 -- -- -4.44
Annual 33,765.67 50,842.00 13,126.00 40,507.00 9 -- -- -3.86

Actuals - Net Asset Value

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 14,532.00 15,227.11 -4.56
Annual 12/1/17 14,835.00 14,336.14 3.48
Annual 12/1/16 13,378.00 12,375.33 8.10

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 5,831.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 22,048.16 33,062.00 3,267.00 24,420.50 12 1 1 -5.35
Annual 21,609.73 28,254.00 10,767.00 23,794.54 13 1 1 -4.64
Annual 17,515.59 20,502.00 13,795.00 17,385.50 16 -- 2 -2.52

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5,831.00 5,639.95 3.39
Annual 12/1/17 5,638.00 6,297.59 -10.47
Annual 12/1/16 8,369.00 7,930.11 5.53

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 4,093.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 7,093.33 7,841.00 6,092.00 7,097.00 17 2 -- 0.08
Annual 5,954.23 6,911.00 4,498.00 6,012.50 18 1 1 0.04
Annual 4,581.62 4,905.50 3,832.00 4,683.50 18 2 1 0.03
Quarterly -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- 0.00
Quarterly 1,315.33 1,651.00 1,134.00 1,161.00 3 -- -- 10.21

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4,093.00 4,041.27 1.28
Annual 12/1/17 3,484.00 3,279.12 6.25
Annual 12/1/16 2,506.00 2,418.20 3.63
Quarterly 9/1/19 1,149.00 1,095.50 4.88
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,149.00 1,125.17 2.12
Quarterly 3/1/19 971.00 948.50 2.37
Quarterly 12/1/18 967.00 854.58 13.16

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Quarterly 1,636.00 1,636.00 1,636.00 1,636.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 23.17 55.00 15.89 17.42 11 -- -- 2.46
Annual 18.76 42.90 11.40 13.70 12 -- -- 2.16
Annual 17.56 33.28 12.60 14.55 12 -- -- 0.96

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 24.66 23.59 1.07
Annual 12/1/16 19.87 17.41 2.46

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 79,053.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 129,492.82 140,204.00 119,093.00 131,332.61 17 2 -- -0.13
Annual 124,785.33 135,416.00 114,697.00 124,719.71 18 2 -- -0.09
Annual 96,371.52 102,641.82 93,567.00 96,339.83 18 2 -- 0.06
Quarterly 31,080.00 32,296.00 29,470.00 31,277.01 4 1 -- -1.36

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 79,053.00 78,274.36 0.99
Annual 12/1/17 74,901.00 74,239.72 0.89
Annual 12/1/16 67,747.00 67,814.79 -0.10
Quarterly 9/1/19 24,521.00 24,040.06 2.00
Quarterly 6/1/19 20,079.00 20,544.72 -2.27
Quarterly 3/1/19 19,979.00 19,587.33 2.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 20,945.00 20,262.39 3.37

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 34.82 34.21 29.40

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 1.89 16.38 24.62

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