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Earnings estimates

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Earnings estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 646.00
Price - 52 Week High: 660.60
Price - 52 Week Low: 424.00
Price Date (Latest): 7/16/19
Median Price Target: 678.94
Diff from Prev Close: 32.94
% Difference: 5.10

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.87

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 22.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.00
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 19.47
Yield (%): 0.31

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 28.91 31.80 27.30 28.40 8 1 1 -2.36
Annual 26.56 28.20 25.46 26.64 10 1 1 -0.01
Annual 23.91 25.70 22.60 23.98 13 1 1 -0.40
Quarterly 6.59 7.30 6.00 6.54 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 7.43 8.84 6.67 6.77 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 5.09 6.19 2.92 6.17 3 -- -- --
Long Term Growth 11.40 12.01 10.80 11.40 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 22.10 22.08 0.10
Annual 12/1/17 18.40 17.97 2.40
Annual 12/1/16 13.40 12.94 3.59
Quarterly 3/1/19 5.40 5.26 2.61
Quarterly 12/1/18 5.22 5.59 -6.54
Quarterly 9/1/18 6.10 6.06 0.63
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.50 6.03 7.76

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 81.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 94.29 131.01 79.97 83.28 5 1 -- -3.63
Annual 92.50 107.35 79.73 89.54 5 1 -- 0.02
Annual 83.71 92.09 79.07 82.20 5 1 -- 0.01
Quarterly 84.13 84.13 84.13 84.13 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 88.40 88.40 88.40 88.40 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 92.09 92.09 92.09 92.09 1 -- -- 4.30

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 81.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 80.59 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 72.33 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 79.34 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 81.80 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 84.65 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 83.20 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 23.21
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 42.34 52.80 30.20 46.96 5 1 -- 0.44
Annual 38.78 47.80 27.20 44.38 5 1 -- 0.46
Annual 35.49 42.36 23.70 42.10 5 1 -- 0.47

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 23.21 25.11 -7.55
Annual 12/1/17 24.72 22.45 10.12
Annual 12/1/16 8.36 11.53 -27.49

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.25
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3.17 4.96 2.60 2.95 8 2 -- 10.52
Annual 2.79 3.94 2.37 2.70 9 2 -- 6.31
Annual 2.50 3.60 1.90 2.42 11 1 -- 0.53

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.25 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 2.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1.80 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 5,450.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 7,550.71 10,065.20 6,856.56 7,203.46 8 2 -- 5.54
Annual 6,868.87 8,576.50 6,366.00 6,705.15 10 1 2 2.93
Annual 6,329.10 6,953.00 5,892.00 6,236.76 14 2 1 0.29
Quarterly 1,600.17 1,659.00 1,488.00 1,619.50 6 -- -- 0.74
Quarterly 1,700.80 1,896.00 1,627.00 1,650.00 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 1,728.00 2,367.00 1,477.00 1,625.00 5 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5,450.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 4,878.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3,475.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,454.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,338.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,507.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,449.00 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 6,212.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 10,631.85 11,099.00 10,188.27 10,749.40 7 1 1 -3.75
Annual 10,112.93 10,380.00 9,865.00 10,141.47 6 -- 1 -2.80
Annual 9,673.60 10,186.00 9,426.22 9,584.00 9 -- 1 -0.37
Quarterly 2,163.00 2,406.00 1,809.00 2,274.00 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 2,259.00 2,488.00 1,858.00 2,431.00 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 2,591.00 3,218.00 1,722.00 2,833.00 3 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6,212.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 5,664.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 4,250.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 2,263.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,544.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,699.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,631.00 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 21.60
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 29.22 31.80 27.30 29.35 7 1 2 -0.13
Annual 26.05 28.20 23.57 26.10 8 2 1 -1.57
Annual 22.53 25.70 18.66 23.36 10 1 2 -1.48
Quarterly 6.40 7.05 5.70 6.44 3 -- -- 0.34
Quarterly 7.66 7.66 7.66 7.66 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 2.83 2.83 2.83 2.83 1 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 21.60 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 15.80 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 8.92 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 5.40 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 5.01 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 6.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 6.36 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 5,831.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 13,455.96 19,493.00 1,901.00 15,264.04 5 -- 1 -6.50
Annual 14,329.42 18,389.00 6,874.00 15,738.00 5 -- 1 3.47
Annual 13,436.13 17,605.00 1,590.00 15,752.00 11 1 1 -5.03
Quarterly 6,194.00 6,194.00 6,194.00 6,194.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 5,495.00 5,495.00 5,495.00 5,495.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 5,419.00 5,419.00 5,419.00 5,419.00 1 -- -- -9.00

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5,831.00 5,639.95 3.39
Annual 12/1/17 5,638.00 6,297.59 -10.47
Annual 12/1/16 8,369.00 7,930.11 5.53
Quarterly 3/1/19 16,107.00 6,845.00 135.31
Quarterly 12/1/18 5,831.00 6,189.33 -5.79
Quarterly 9/1/18 5,602.00 5,971.00 -6.18
Quarterly 6/1/18 5,454.00 6,206.00 -12.12

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 4,093.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 5,052.35 5,279.00 4,748.18 5,075.49 7 1 1 0.10
Annual 4,742.43 4,886.00 4,584.00 4,790.00 9 1 1 0.17
Annual 4,392.52 4,869.00 3,855.95 4,370.00 14 2 1 0.53
Quarterly 1,145.33 1,299.00 1,025.00 1,150.00 6 -- -- 0.05
Quarterly 1,206.90 1,553.00 941.50 1,178.00 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 722.20 1,255.00 -299.00 1,038.00 5 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4,093.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 3,484.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 2,506.00 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 971.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 967.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,126.00 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,214.00 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 32.50 39.40 24.80 33.28 5 -- -- 4.34
Annual 30.19 34.50 23.60 30.87 6 -- -- 1.50
Annual 28.02 34.60 12.99 29.67 8 -- -- -2.04

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 24.66 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 19.87 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 79,053.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 89,735.46 93,266.00 87,358.00 89,123.00 7 2 -- -4.66
Annual 86,355.43 88,587.00 84,536.00 86,079.00 9 2 -- -3.69
Annual 84,068.53 94,317.00 81,762.00 83,327.81 12 3 -- 1.16
Quarterly 20,520.66 20,800.30 20,245.00 20,477.00 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 20,991.75 21,375.00 20,751.00 20,931.00 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 21,949.18 22,531.00 21,560.00 21,756.54 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 79,053.00 78,274.36 0.99
Annual 12/1/17 74,901.00 74,239.72 0.89
Annual 12/1/16 67,747.00 67,814.79 -0.10
Quarterly 3/1/19 19,979.00 19,587.33 2.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 20,945.00 20,262.39 3.37
Quarterly 9/1/18 20,237.00 19,611.06 3.19
Quarterly 6/1/18 19,491.00 19,527.58 -0.19

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 29.23 27.02 24.32

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 8.29 11.12 8.83

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