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Earnings estimates

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Earnings estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 617.20
Price - 52 Week High: 660.60
Price - 52 Week Low: 424.00
Price Date (Latest): 8/16/19
Median Price Target: 688.65
Diff from Prev Close: 71.45
% Difference: 11.58

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.06

Sell

Strong Buy

Available Measures

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 22.10
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 2.00
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 19.47
Yield (%): 0.32

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 30.54 39.53 26.79 29.80 17 3 6 -0.95
Annual 25.61 31.81 20.96 25.99 19 1 8 -4.60
Annual 22.57 24.89 12.71 23.38 17 2 6 -4.72
Quarterly 5.45 5.45 5.45 5.45 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 5.18 6.54 3.81 5.18 2 -- -- 35.83
Quarterly 6.55 8.10 5.30 6.40 4 -- 2 -11.80
Quarterly 4.61 6.17 1.86 5.79 3 -- 2 -9.55
Long Term Growth 11.43 12.07 10.80 11.43 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 22.10 22.08 0.10
Annual 12/1/17 18.40 17.97 2.40
Annual 12/1/16 13.40 12.94 3.59
Quarterly 6/1/19 6.30 6.39 -1.38
Quarterly 3/1/19 5.40 5.26 2.61
Quarterly 12/1/18 5.22 5.59 -6.54
Quarterly 9/1/18 6.10 6.06 0.63

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 81.80
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 156.35 221.24 79.97 172.65 10 3 -- 33.37
Annual 141.87 219.95 79.50 116.24 10 2 1 27.75
Annual 115.09 254.79 74.30 80.50 9 3 -- 7.18
Quarterly 93.65 93.65 93.65 93.65 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 97.75 97.75 97.75 97.75 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 89.29 89.29 89.29 89.29 1 1 -- 1.01
Quarterly 92.63 92.63 92.63 92.63 1 1 -- 0.59

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 81.80 81.50 0.36
Annual 12/1/17 80.59 77.18 4.42
Annual 12/1/16 72.33 71.27 1.48
Quarterly 6/1/19 87.21 85.60 1.88
Quarterly 3/1/19 79.34 80.10 -0.95
Quarterly 12/1/18 81.80 82.68 -1.07
Quarterly 9/1/18 84.65 81.67 3.65

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 23.21
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 42.03 59.30 30.20 43.26 7 1 -- -1.08
Annual 36.58 45.35 27.20 38.30 7 -- 1 -5.48
Annual 31.82 42.36 23.70 27.12 7 -- 1 -5.45

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 23.21 25.11 -7.55
Annual 12/1/17 24.72 22.45 10.12
Annual 12/1/16 8.36 11.53 -27.49

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.25
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 4.03 5.55 2.60 4.51 16 3 4 16.63
Annual 3.31 4.30 2.37 3.31 17 -- 6 11.78
Annual 2.80 3.70 1.90 2.55 16 1 4 12.25

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2.25 2.25 -0.17
Annual 12/1/17 2.00 2.32 -13.83
Annual 12/1/16 1.80 1.82 -0.90

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 5,450.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8,691.76 10,603.00 6,758.00 9,057.00 15 4 5 5.29
Annual 7,503.10 8,721.01 6,366.00 6,958.00 17 5 5 3.40
Annual 6,333.44 6,936.00 5,892.00 6,284.00 17 4 6 0.64
Quarterly 1,471.00 1,471.00 1,471.00 1,471.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 1,715.00 1,715.00 1,715.00 1,715.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 1,679.60 1,761.00 1,596.00 1,670.00 5 3 2 0.62
Quarterly 1,643.80 2,129.00 1,382.00 1,558.00 5 2 3 -3.02

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5,450.00 5,526.17 -1.38
Annual 12/1/17 4,878.00 4,781.24 2.02
Annual 12/1/16 3,475.00 3,253.67 6.80
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,631.00 1,589.67 2.60
Quarterly 3/1/19 1,454.00 1,316.40 10.45
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,338.00 1,399.89 -4.42
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,507.00 1,504.95 0.14

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 6,212.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12,606.48 14,939.29 10,118.00 13,033.00 15 5 3 4.89
Annual 11,386.47 12,953.00 9,711.00 11,623.50 12 4 3 3.44
Annual 9,670.57 10,404.00 9,250.00 9,629.60 12 3 4 -0.41
Quarterly 2,261.00 2,261.00 2,261.00 2,261.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 2,430.00 2,430.00 2,430.00 2,430.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 2,423.33 2,502.00 2,341.00 2,427.00 3 2 1 7.27
Quarterly 2,828.67 3,273.00 2,290.00 2,923.00 3 3 -- 9.17

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6,212.00 6,271.93 -0.96
Annual 12/1/17 5,664.00 5,514.60 2.71
Annual 12/1/16 4,250.00 4,280.03 -0.70
Quarterly 6/1/19 2,441.00 2,319.67 5.23
Quarterly 3/1/19 2,263.00 1,977.50 14.44
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,544.00 1,602.80 -3.67
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,699.00 1,690.67 0.49

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 21.60
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 29.95 36.86 23.90 29.39 14 3 5 -1.94
Annual 24.39 27.90 16.00 25.29 16 1 6 -8.35
Annual 21.90 25.38 12.71 22.77 14 2 5 -3.95
Quarterly 5.45 5.45 5.45 5.45 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6.54 6.54 6.54 6.54 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6.51 8.10 5.30 6.13 3 -- 1 -26.36
Quarterly 3.83 5.79 1.86 3.83 2 -- 1 30.99

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 21.60 22.04 -2.01
Annual 12/1/17 15.80 16.01 -1.28
Annual 12/1/16 8.92 8.55 4.32
Quarterly 6/1/19 6.30 6.36 -0.87
Quarterly 3/1/19 5.40 5.46 -1.01
Quarterly 12/1/18 5.01 4.85 3.28
Quarterly 9/1/18 6.00 5.91 1.56

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 5,831.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 22,087.43 38,523.00 3,411.00 25,041.50 12 5 3 26.86
Annual 18,756.23 29,450.00 4,912.00 19,388.53 14 4 6 19.64
Annual 16,579.16 20,502.00 11,413.00 16,089.86 17 4 6 11.81
Quarterly 12,671.00 12,671.00 12,671.00 12,671.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 11,532.00 11,532.00 11,532.00 11,532.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 14,405.00 14,405.00 14,405.00 14,405.00 1 1 -- 162.15
Quarterly 13,848.00 13,848.00 13,848.00 13,848.00 1 1 -- 155.55

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5,831.00 5,639.95 3.39
Annual 12/1/17 5,638.00 6,297.59 -10.47
Annual 12/1/16 8,369.00 7,930.11 5.53
Quarterly 6/1/19 14,959.00 15,501.00 -3.50
Quarterly 3/1/19 16,107.00 6,845.00 135.31
Quarterly 12/1/18 5,831.00 6,189.33 -5.79
Quarterly 9/1/18 5,602.00 5,971.00 -6.18

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 4,093.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 6,049.44 7,600.00 4,702.00 6,225.00 16 4 5 1.96
Annual 5,118.35 6,116.00 4,403.00 4,963.00 18 3 6 -0.32
Annual 4,230.09 4,522.00 2,422.00 4,357.62 18 2 8 -0.70
Quarterly 966.00 966.00 966.00 966.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 1,152.00 1,152.00 1,152.00 1,152.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 1,163.16 1,424.00 987.80 1,104.00 5 2 3 -3.62
Quarterly 995.80 1,387.00 378.00 1,030.00 5 2 3 37.88

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 4,093.00 4,041.27 1.28
Annual 12/1/17 3,484.00 3,279.12 6.25
Annual 12/1/16 2,506.00 2,418.20 3.63
Quarterly 6/1/19 1,149.00 1,125.17 2.12
Quarterly 3/1/19 971.00 948.50 2.37
Quarterly 12/1/18 967.00 854.58 13.16
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,126.00 1,102.88 2.10

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 24.25 49.60 12.90 18.80 11 -- -- -26.47
Annual 21.73 37.70 9.20 20.45 12 -- -- -25.16
Annual 22.99 30.15 13.60 26.50 11 -- -- -11.40

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 24.66 23.59 1.07
Annual 12/1/16 19.87 17.41 2.46

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 79,053.00
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 114,656.47 139,019.00 87,278.00 125,838.50 16 2 7 7.16
Annual 108,126.22 134,495.00 84,579.00 120,908.50 18 4 6 7.33
Annual 86,033.66 93,789.00 80,761.00 83,905.31 18 6 4 0.05
Quarterly 21,150.00 21,150.00 21,150.00 21,150.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 21,919.00 21,919.00 21,919.00 21,919.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 20,882.63 21,320.00 20,149.00 20,946.39 6 2 2 -0.52
Quarterly 26,762.59 32,020.00 21,756.54 26,694.50 6 4 -- 4.62

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 79,053.00 78,274.36 0.99
Annual 12/1/17 74,901.00 74,239.72 0.89
Annual 12/1/16 67,747.00 67,814.79 -0.10
Quarterly 6/1/19 20,079.00 20,544.72 -2.27
Quarterly 3/1/19 19,979.00 19,587.33 2.00
Quarterly 12/1/18 20,945.00 20,262.39 3.37
Quarterly 9/1/18 20,237.00 19,611.06 3.19

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 27.93 27.34 24.10

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate 2.25 13.44 19.27

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